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President Donald Trump has repeatedly stated that gasoline prices will "drop like a rock" once the Iran war ends, a prediction that overlooks the broader impact of his administration's policies on the U.S.
While energy costs may decline initially, structural inflationary pressures from tariffs and supply chain disruptions are likely to keep consumer prices elevated for several quarters after the conflict concludes.
Since his second-term inauguration in January 2025, major U.S. stock indexes have reached new highs, driven by the artificial intelligence infrastructure build-out, strong corporate earnings, and record share buybacks.
However, this market performance has occurred alongside persistently elevated inflation.
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