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Dan Krupka, founder of Connection Capital and former research head at Coin Bureau, argues that Bitcoin's recent push toward $86,000 is a textbook relief rally that will culminate in a severe liquidity trap during the fourth quarter of 2026.
While retail traders interpret the current price action as the end of the bear market, Krupka contends the underlying data signals that buyers are providing exit liquidity for institutional sellers.
Krupka outlined this trajectory in a January 1 analysis for his subscribers, forecasting a short first-quarter pop, a grinding decline through the second quarter into a summer bottom, and a final relief leg into late 2026.
He notes that the total crypto market capitalization has round-tripped back to its January baseline, aligning with his predicted schedule.
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