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Kalshi traders see Nasdaq-100 above 30,000 by year-end, but count on a slower second half

7/23/2026

Prediction market traders on Kalshi are calling the Nasdaq-100 above 30,000 at year-end 2026.

The bullish verdict comes with a built-in caveat: speculators on the platform expect the second half of the year to be more subdued than the surge that lifted the index from its U.S.-Iran war lows.

The case for a year-end finish above 30,000 The Nasdaq-100 staged a massive rally after hitting its post-U.S.-Iran war lows.

Kalshi traders, putting real money behind their forecasts, have settled on above 30,000 as the year-end outcome. It is a directional call, not a price target, and the framing matters.