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Goldman Sachs Cuts Gold Forecast by $500 as Fed Hawkishness Reshapes the Trade

6/22/2026

Goldman Sachs strategists have lowered their year-end gold price target by $500, now projecting the metal will reach $4,900 a tonne by year's end rather than the $5,400 figure the bank had previously published.

The Federal Reserve's shift to a more hawkish policy stance is the named driver of the revision. A $500 Markdown on the Metal The cut is straightforward arithmetic with real commercial weight.

Goldman's commodity strategists, whose price targets are benchmarks for institutional positioning, are telling clients that the bullish case for gold has been repriced — not abandoned, but trimmed by a meaningful margin.

A $4,900 target still implies the bank expects the metal to move higher, but the ceiling is demonstrably lower, and the reason is policy rather than fundamentals specific to gold itself.

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