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Diversified Energy's $1.8 billion Birch deal tests the limits of the PDP playbook

9/5/2026

The case for Diversified Energy's $1.8 billion acquisition of Birch Permian Holdings is compact: 3.3 times the $548 million in annualized adjusted EBITDA Diversified attributes to the Permian Basin producer, based on August 17 strip pricing.

What complicates the read is that roughly three-quarters of the 480 net wells in the deal date from 2022 or earlier. The deal is the largest in Diversified's 25-year history.

It adds approximately 68,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day of net production, based on Birch's estimated July 2026 output, with Diversified projecting a 35% increase in total production and a 55% lift in adjusted EBITDA.

The asset mix skews toward liquids: Birch's production runs approximately 38% oil, 32% natural gas liquids, and 30% natural gas.

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