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The Indiana Fever arrive in Dallas on Thursday at 8 p.m. ET riding a five-game winning streak and a 24-12 WNBA record. The read-through on that record is messier than it looks.
Dallas plays markedly better at home than its recent road results suggest, Azzi Fudd's season-ending knee surgery shifts volume to Paige Bueckers, and the Fever enter with a rest disadvantage that has cost them: they are 4-8 against the spread in those spots.
The case for the 20-16 Wings starts with Bueckers against this opponent specifically. In six career meetings with the Fever, she is averaging 22.5 points per game on 51.5% shooting.
Her career player efficiency rating is 22.0 against Caitlin Clark's 19.7. Her on/off rating is +6.7 against Clark's +1.1.
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